Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021734 0.023352 0.025037 0.026924 0.028982 0.031159 0.033641
2024-10-20 0.018654 0.020926 0.023414 0.026351 0.029733 0.033517 0.038088
2024-10-27 0.017034 0.019742 0.022826 0.026616 0.031171 0.036499 0.043247
2024-11-03 0.015706 0.018684 0.022182 0.026622 0.032151 0.038862 0.047704
2024-11-10 0.014815 0.018023 0.021894 0.026950 0.033443 0.041587 0.052709
2024-11-17 0.013788 0.017093 0.021172 0.026632 0.033832 0.043123 0.056216
2024-11-24 0.012997 0.016390 0.020664 0.026513 0.034418 0.044892 0.060089
2024-12-01 0.012210 0.015632 0.020021 0.026149 0.034615 0.046104 0.063228
2024-12-08 0.011675 0.015164 0.019719 0.026201 0.035352 0.048064 0.067519
2024-12-15 0.011049 0.014536 0.019159 0.025851 0.035482 0.049147 0.070568
2024-12-22 0.010428 0.013879 0.018518 0.025340 0.035333 0.049790 0.072966
2024-12-29 0.009954 0.013398 0.018094 0.025103 0.035551 0.050962 0.076226
2025-01-05 0.009501 0.012929 0.017666 0.024844 0.035728 0.052093 0.079522
2025-01-12 0.008989 0.012353 0.017057 0.024283 0.035412 0.052439 0.081566
2025-01-19 0.008751 0.012157 0.016986 0.024515 0.036314 0.054724 0.086954
2025-01-26 0.008465 0.011878 0.016775 0.024519 0.036850 0.056447 0.091506
2025-02-02 0.008279 0.011736 0.016759 0.024815 0.037860 0.058987 0.097648
2025-02-09 0.007951 0.011367 0.016383 0.024527 0.037899 0.059909 0.100974
2025-02-16 0.007690 0.011088 0.016131 0.024419 0.038223 0.061319 0.105275
2025-02-23 0.007390 0.010738 0.015754 0.024088 0.038151 0.062037 0.108330
2025-03-02 0.007198 0.010546 0.015615 0.024136 0.038718 0.063894 0.113671
2025-03-09 0.006932 0.010230 0.015265 0.023818 0.038635 0.064583 0.116792
2025-03-16 0.006648 0.009873 0.014839 0.023354 0.038270 0.064735 0.118852